Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
(6) Ole Miss Rebels
76 – 59
FINAL Neutral Conference SEC Men's
(11) South Carolina Gamecocks
Southeastern Conference · Bridgestone Arena (Neutral) · March 12, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread MISS -6.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money MISS -275 / SC +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total MISS win
Actual MISS +17 135 Won
Massey MISS -7.5 (+9.5) — —
Massey Totals — 139.5 (-4.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 75% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MISS -6.8 (+10.2) 137.9 (-2.9) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MISS -5.7 (+11.3) 135.4 (-0.4) 72% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MISS -7.2 (+9.8) 139.7 (-4.7) 73% ✓
Baseline ML MISS -6.9 (+10.1) 137.9 (-2.9) 76% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 SC 64 – 61 MISS
Feb 13, 2025 MISS 72 – 68 SC
Feb 24, 2024 SC 72 – 59 MISS
Feb 6, 2024 SC 68 – 65 MISS
Mar 9, 2023 MISS 67 – 61 SC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MISS SC
Overall 16-12 6-15
Conference 10-8 4-12
Home 10-4 3-6
Away 5-6 2-7
Neutral 1-2 1-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 68.8 72.5
Avg Pts Against 63.6 79.1
Massey 10.0 (#52) 2.6 (#129)
Bradley-Terry 1.48 (#65) 0.39 (#140)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.97 (#62) 0.75 (#123)
RPI 0.543 (#86) 0.501 (#167)
Shooting & Four Factors MISS SC
FG% 44.2% 41.8%
3PT% 29.7% 30.8%
REB / G 36.2 36.1
OREB / G 12.0 13.1
AST / TO 0.89 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 47.1%
TOV% 20.6% 20.0%
ORB% 34.4% 32.4%
FT Rate 24.0% 17.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 23.6% 22.3%
DRB% 73.1% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.7% 29.9%

Game Analysis

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