Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -200 NCCU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +29 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -6.4 (+22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -6.8 (+22.2) | 137.4 (+7.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -5.8 (+23.2) | 136.4 (+8.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -6.8 (+22.2) | 140.3 (+4.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -6.1 (+22.9) | 138.7 (+6.3) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NORF 75 – 68 NCCU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NCCU 69 – 67 NORF |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NCCU 91 – 87 NORF |
| Feb 4, 2025 | NORF 81 – 78 NCCU |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NORF 80 – 74 NCCU |
Game Analysis
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