Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -225 PSU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -3.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -2.7 (-1.7) | 137.5 (+11.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -0.8 (+0.2) | 133.9 (+15.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -1.9 (-0.9) | 137.2 (+11.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -2.4 (-1.4) | 137.6 (+11.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | WIS 98 – 71 PSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PSU 86 – 75 WIS |
| Jan 17, 2024 | PSU 87 – 83 WIS |
| Feb 9, 2023 | WIS 79 – 74 PSU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | WIS 63 – 60 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#19) | 11.0 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#32) | 1.75 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#19) | 2.74 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#84) | 0.547 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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