Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -1200 CP +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +7 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -16.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -13.4 (-6.4) | 130.8 (-21.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -13.3 (-6.3) | 131.0 (-22.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -13.0 (-6.0) | 131.0 (-22.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -13.8 (-6.8) | 130.3 (-21.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCI 107 – 85 CP |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CP 79 – 73 UCI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UCI 96 – 78 CP |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UCI 101 – 71 CP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCI 98 – 89 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 4-20 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 1-15 |
| Home | 10-1 | 3-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 59.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#113) | -13.2 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#107) | -2.15 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#100) | -2.64 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#68) | 0.372 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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