Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -1600 NAU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -15.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -13.6 (-7.6) | 148.6 (-22.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -12.2 (-6.2) | 145.0 (-19.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -13.2 (-7.2) | 146.6 (-20.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -14.0 (-8.0) | 148.0 (-22.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | EWU 88 – 57 NAU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NAU 92 – 86 EWU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAU 66 – 53 EWU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NAU 87 – 67 EWU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NAU 70 – 61 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 4-10 |
| Home | 7-2 | 1-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#107) | -11.4 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#161) | -1.86 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#145) | -2.35 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#90) | 0.463 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 58.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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