Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -250 UGA +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -5.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -5.3 (-2.3) | 153.9 (-10.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -3.4 (-0.4) | 150.8 (-7.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -4.5 (-1.5) | 153.7 (-10.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -5.3 (-2.3) | 153.1 (-10.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | UGA 74 – 72 MIZ |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MIZ 87 – 74 UGA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UGA 64 – 59 MIZ |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UGA 75 – 68 MIZ |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MIZ 85 – 63 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-10 | 14-12 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#47) | 4.8 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#29) | 1.23 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#43) | 1.45 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#17) | 0.515 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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