Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -333 RICE +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -8.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -7.4 (+5.6) | 137.7 (-4.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -5.4 (+7.6) | 138.4 (-5.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -7.9 (+5.1) | 138.4 (-5.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -7.7 (+5.3) | 137.2 (-4.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UAB 71 – 65 RICE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UAB 90 – 89 RICE |
| Feb 22, 2024 | RICE 94 – 71 UAB |
| Mar 10, 2023 | UAB 87 – 60 RICE |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UAB 85 – 57 RICE |
Game Analysis
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