Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -1200 CAL +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +3 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -14.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -14.0 (-11.0) | 129.5 (-10.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -11.8 (-8.8) | 126.7 (-7.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -12.9 (-9.9) | 130.0 (-11.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -13.0 (-10.0) | 129.4 (-10.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 29, 2024 | COLO 88 – 78 CAL |
| Jan 11, 2024 | CAL 82 – 78 COLO |
| Feb 3, 2023 | COLO 59 – 46 CAL |
| Dec 31, 2022 | CAL 80 – 76 COLO |
| Feb 18, 2022 | COLO 70 – 62 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-1 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#11) | 0.7 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#34) | -0.12 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#29) | 0.21 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#26) | 0.461 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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