Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | TEX +110 TTU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -1.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -0.8 (+1.8) | 136.7 (-3.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -0.5 (+1.5) | 133.4 (-0.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -1.6 (+2.6) | 136.3 (-3.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -1.1 (+2.1) | 135.7 (-2.7) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2024 | TEX 81 – 69 TTU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | TTU 78 – 67 TEX |
| Feb 14, 2023 | TTU 74 – 67 TEX |
| Jan 15, 2023 | TEX 72 – 70 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | TTU 61 – 55 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 9-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-2 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 63.2 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#25) | 14.7 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#9) | 2.51 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#10) | 3.12 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#18) | 0.566 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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