Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | VCU +150 SLU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -2.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.0 (-2.0) | 136.8 (-4.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -1.4 (+0.6) | 134.9 (-2.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -3.3 (-1.3) | 139.6 (-7.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -4.1 (-2.1) | 136.8 (-4.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SLU 88 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | SLU 71 – 62 VCU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | SLU 78 – 69 VCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VCU 78 – 62 SLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VCU 95 – 85 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-7 | 14-7 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 6-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-1 |
| Away | 5-3 | 1-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#42) | 10.8 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#48) | 1.35 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#42) | 1.83 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#38) | 0.531 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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