Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | USD +140 PAC -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +10 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | PAC -4.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -1.7 (-8.3) | 140.3 (+3.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -2.9 (-7.1) | 139.8 (+4.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -2.7 (-7.3) | 142.6 (+1.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -2.4 (-7.6) | 141.4 (+2.6) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | PAC 77 – 70 USD |
| Dec 28, 2025 | USD 66 – 54 PAC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | USD 81 – 77 PAC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | PAC 71 – 69 USD |
| Dec 31, 2024 | USD 75 – 65 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-11 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 2-7 | 6-7 |
| Home | 0-5 | 6-2 |
| Away | 3-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#255) | 1.3 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#195) | 0.81 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#197) | 0.81 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#185) | 0.539 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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