Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO +175 AKR -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +17 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -1.9 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -2.5 (+14.5) | 153.6 (+9.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -0.9 (+16.1) | 151.2 (+11.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -1.9 (+15.1) | 154.6 (+8.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -2.2 (+14.8) | 155.6 (+7.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | AKR 86 – 65 OHIO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 67 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | AKR 92 – 80 OHIO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AKR 65 – 62 OHIO |
| Feb 28, 2024 | OHIO 74 – 67 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-8 | 15-8 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-3 | 9-1 |
| Away | 4-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#102) | 5.4 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#129) | 1.18 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#132) | 1.50 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#112) | 0.557 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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