Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC +100 SELA +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -2.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.1 (-2.9) | 139.1 (+13.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -0.1 (-3.1) | 137.5 (+15.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -0.1 (-2.9) | 140.8 (+12.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -0.6 (-3.6) | 140.7 (+12.3) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AMCC 68 – 56 SELA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AMCC 80 – 71 SELA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AMCC 80 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 8-18 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 5-10 |
| Home | 4-8 | 3-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#330) | -12.1 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.65 (#343) | -1.90 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.61 (#341) | -2.83 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#341) | 0.425 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 24.6% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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