Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -600 EVAN +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -17.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -15.7 (-4.7) | 140.0 (-3.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -13.5 (-2.5) | 133.6 (+3.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -16.2 (-5.2) | 139.7 (-2.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -16.5 (-5.5) | 140.1 (-3.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | DRKE 82 – 78 EVAN |
| Dec 21, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 65 EVAN |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DRKE 65 – 61 EVAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 40 EVAN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 79 – 58 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-4 |
| Away | 9-2 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#41) | -4.2 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#23) | -0.77 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#57) | -1.07 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#73) | 0.465 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 27.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.