Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE +650 MORE -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +8 | 104 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -9.8 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -8.4 (+0.4) | 134.5 (-30.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -7.9 (-0.1) | 129.4 (-25.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -8.6 (+0.6) | 134.5 (-30.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -8.9 (+0.9) | 135.6 (-31.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | MORE 67 – 65 SIUE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MORE 73 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SIUE 80 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIUE 65 – 54 MORE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORE 78 – 63 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 2-8 | 12-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#324) | 0.6 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#308) | 0.62 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#306) | 0.53 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#269) | 0.563 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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