Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -225 GRAM +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -4.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -4.5 (-0.5) | 132.8 (-10.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -4.2 (-0.2) | 133.1 (-11.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -4.1 (-0.1) | 136.3 (-14.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -4.2 (-0.2) | 132.5 (-10.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | JKST 68 – 65 GRAM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GRAM 69 – 66 JKST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JKST 65 – 50 GRAM |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GRAM 70 – 62 JKST |
| Mar 11, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 69 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-6 | 12-12 |
| Conference | 11-0 | 9-6 |
| Home | 6-0 | 6-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#285) | -10.2 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#211) | -1.13 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#246) | -1.78 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#199) | 0.453 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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