Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | USC -150 ORE +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | USC -6.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -6.3 (+7.7) | 138.2 (-8.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -5.2 (+8.8) | 137.5 (-7.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -5.9 (+8.1) | 139.4 (-9.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -6.1 (+7.9) | 137.8 (-7.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ORE 71 – 70 USC |
| Dec 3, 2025 | USC 82 – 77 ORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | ORE 82 – 61 USC |
| Dec 5, 2024 | ORE 68 – 60 USC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | ORE 78 – 69 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 21-7 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#14) | 11.1 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#30) | 2.04 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#21) | 2.54 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#19) | 0.573 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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