Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | OKST +170 TTU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -2.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -1.3 (+3.7) | 138.8 (+4.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -0.2 (+5.2) | 137.4 (+5.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -0.7 (+4.3) | 140.9 (+2.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -1.2 (+3.8) | 139.1 (+3.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | TTU 102 – 80 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TTU 93 – 55 OKST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TTU 64 – 54 OKST |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TTU 75 – 58 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2024 | TTU 90 – 73 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 63.2 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#53) | 14.8 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#18) | 2.54 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#17) | 3.06 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#32) | 0.575 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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