Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | NU +210 WIS -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +17 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -3.6 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -2.3 (-14.7) | 134.1 (-15.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.3 (-14.7) | 133.0 (-14.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -2.4 (-14.6) | 135.9 (-16.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -2.5 (-14.5) | 133.1 (-14.1) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | WIS 85 – 73 NU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WIS 70 – 63 NU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIS 75 – 69 NU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WIS 70 – 61 NU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WIS 71 – 63 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 6-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#73) | 14.1 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#111) | 2.37 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#73) | 3.45 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#223) | 0.559 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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