Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | NCSU -110 SYR +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | NCSU -0.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -0.7 (-9.7) | 147.0 (-2.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -0.7 (-9.7) | 147.0 (-2.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -0.8 (-9.8) | 147.6 (-2.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -0.7 (-9.7) | 146.8 (-1.8) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NCSU 88 – 68 SYR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SYR 74 – 60 NCSU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NCSU 83 – 65 SYR |
| Feb 21, 2024 | SYR 87 – 83 NCSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SYR 77 – 65 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 18-10 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 9-7 |
| Home | 7-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#73) | 10.2 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#123) | 1.51 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#105) | 2.08 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#157) | 0.566 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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