Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SBU -1000 LAS +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +13 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -14.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -12.2 (+0.8) | 136.6 (+22.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -11.4 (+1.6) | 135.6 (+23.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -12.6 (+0.4) | 136.2 (+22.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -12.4 (+0.6) | 137.2 (+21.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | SBU 99 – 80 LAS |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAS 78 – 74 SBU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LAS 83 – 82 SBU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | SBU 75 – 73 LAS |
| Feb 21, 2024 | LAS 72 – 59 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-5 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 6-11 |
| Home | 8-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-3 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#48) | -0.9 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#35) | 0.19 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#39) | 0.14 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#13) | 0.506 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.