Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | DAY +140 VCU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -2.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -1.7 (-7.3) | 133.2 (+9.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -1.3 (-7.7) | 133.5 (+9.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -1.3 (-7.7) | 132.2 (+10.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -1.4 (-7.6) | 134.1 (+8.9) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | VCU 70 – 62 DAY |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VCU 68 – 62 DAY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | VCU 99 – 73 DAY |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DAY 79 – 76 VCU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VCU 73 – 68 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-10 | 19-7 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 10-4 |
| Home | 8-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#97) | 10.6 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#73) | 2.05 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#60) | 2.49 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#72) | 0.592 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 25.2% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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