Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU -500 UAPB +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +1 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -15.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-32.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -11.6 (-10.6) | 140.0 (-29.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -10.8 (-9.8) | 138.5 (-27.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -12.4 (-11.4) | 140.2 (-29.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -12.2 (-11.2) | 139.4 (-28.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | AAMU 82 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UAPB 95 – 83 AAMU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AAMU 75 – 61 UAPB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AAMU 89 – 79 UAPB |
| Feb 20, 2024 | AAMU 75 – 67 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-9 | 4-21 |
| Conference | 4-9 | 3-12 |
| Home | 5-2 | 2-3 |
| Away | 1-7 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#279) | -19.8 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#156) | -2.57 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#212) | -4.36 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#182) | 0.383 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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