Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -700 NEB +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -11.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -11.6 (+6.4) | 147.9 (-7.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -8.7 (+9.3) | 151.1 (-11.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -11.6 (+6.4) | 150.8 (-10.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -12.1 (+5.9) | 146.0 (-6.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | NEB 76 – 57 MINN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MINN 67 – 65 NEB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NEB 73 – 55 MINN |
| Dec 7, 2023 | MINN 76 – 65 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MINN 78 – 75 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 7-20 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-16 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 0-10 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#47) | 2.3 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#32) | -0.59 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#21) | -0.22 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#57) | 0.466 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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