Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | NORF -250 COPP +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +10 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -8.5 (-18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -8.3 (-18.3) | 150.1 (-12.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -6.5 (-16.5) | 152.3 (-14.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -8.8 (-18.8) | 152.2 (-14.2) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -8.5 (-18.5) | 151.0 (-13.0) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NORF 103 – 76 COPP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NORF 79 – 63 COPP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NORF 92 – 69 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NORF 75 – 51 COPP |
Game Analysis
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