Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -800 ORST +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +29 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -15.3 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -11.9 (+17.1) | 138.8 (-11.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -11.9 (+17.1) | 134.3 (-7.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -12.7 (+16.3) | 137.5 (-10.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -12.4 (+16.6) | 138.3 (-11.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2024 | COLO 73 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | COLO 90 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORST 60 – 52 COLO |
| Jan 8, 2023 | COLO 62 – 42 ORST |
| Feb 16, 2022 | COLO 90 – 64 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#15) | 2.2 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#49) | 0.73 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#35) | 1.13 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#24) | 0.503 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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