Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | LAF -120 L-MD +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +4 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | LAF -3.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -3.9 (+0.1) | 142.3 (+13.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -3.1 (+0.9) | 140.4 (+15.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -4.1 (-0.1) | 144.0 (+12.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -3.8 (+0.2) | 142.3 (+13.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | L-MD 68 – 54 LAF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LAF 79 – 64 L-MD |
| Feb 6, 2025 | L-MD 71 – 58 LAF |
| Jan 23, 2025 | LAF 80 – 59 L-MD |
| Feb 15, 2024 | L-MD 79 – 64 LAF |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.