Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | KU -250 OKST +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | KU -4.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -4.1 (+7.9) | 144.4 (-0.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -3.1 (+8.9) | 142.3 (+1.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -4.1 (+7.9) | 146.6 (-2.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -3.8 (+8.2) | 145.0 (-1.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | KU 81 – 69 OKST |
| Feb 22, 2025 | KU 96 – 64 OKST |
| Jan 31, 2024 | KU 83 – 54 OKST |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KU 90 – 66 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2023 | KU 87 – 76 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#33) | 10.6 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#13) | 2.72 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#25) | 3.77 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#26) | 0.604 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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