Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | CMU +350 OHIO -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +14 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -8.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -7.5 (-6.5) | 155.9 (-3.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -6.9 (-7.1) | 151.3 (+0.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -8.0 (-6.0) | 156.7 (-4.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -7.7 (-6.3) | 157.1 (-5.1) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | OHIO 80 – 64 CMU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | OHIO 57 – 55 CMU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | OHIO 73 – 61 CMU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | OHIO 76 – 59 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-16 | 17-8 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 9-5 |
| Home | 5-6 | 8-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#272) | 4.7 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#288) | 0.45 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#280) | 0.53 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#306) | 0.532 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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