Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -163 BTLR +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -6.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -5.1 (-2.1) | 131.1 (+5.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -4.1 (-1.1) | 129.3 (+7.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -4.4 (-1.4) | 130.7 (+6.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -5.3 (-2.3) | 131.3 (+5.7) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MARQ 70 – 55 BTLR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 76 MARQ |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MARQ 78 – 69 BTLR |
| Dec 19, 2024 | MARQ 80 – 70 BTLR |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MARQ 78 – 72 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#87) | 2.3 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#90) | 0.57 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#84) | 1.10 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#139) | 0.489 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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