Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | MD -125 PUR +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +1 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | MD -1.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -1.5 (-0.5) | 136.4 (-15.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -0.3 (+1.3) | 132.2 (-11.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -1.3 (-0.3) | 133.6 (-12.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -1.0 (-0.0) | 135.8 (-14.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | PUR 93 – 63 MD |
| Dec 8, 2024 | PUR 83 – 78 MD |
| Jan 3, 2024 | PUR 67 – 53 MD |
| Feb 16, 2023 | MD 68 – 54 PUR |
| Jan 22, 2023 | PUR 58 – 55 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 18-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#44) | 12.8 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#40) | 2.68 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#38) | 3.66 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#37) | 0.612 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.