Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | NCCU -2500 SCST +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +14 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -24.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -19.3 (-5.3) | 151.5 (+16.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -16.3 (-2.3) | 152.1 (+15.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -20.6 (-6.6) | 151.7 (+16.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -20.6 (-6.6) | 154.4 (+13.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | SCST 80 – 64 NCCU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SCST 85 – 72 NCCU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SCST 88 – 67 NCCU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SCST 87 – 71 NCCU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NCCU 82 – 77 SCST |
Game Analysis
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