Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -450 AAMU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +17 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -3.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-34.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -1.5 (+15.5) | 146.6 (-31.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -3.1 (+13.9) | 144.5 (-29.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -2.8 (+14.2) | 148.9 (-33.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -1.6 (+15.4) | 147.7 (-32.7) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | AAMU 85 – 74 TXSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TXSO 89 – 74 AAMU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 78 AAMU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TXSO 72 – 65 AAMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TXSO 85 – 69 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 6-9 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 4-9 |
| Home | 8-2 | 5-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-7 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#254) | -5.8 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#234) | 0.79 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#278) | 0.18 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#192) | 0.530 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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