Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -700 UAPB +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +8 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -14.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -12.0 (-4.0) | 137.3 (-19.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -11.0 (-3.0) | 136.4 (-18.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -11.5 (-3.5) | 138.3 (-20.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -12.1 (-4.1) | 136.6 (-18.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | JKST 81 – 78 UAPB |
| Feb 9, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 63 JKST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JKST 76 – 69 UAPB |
| Feb 11, 2025 | JKST 94 – 78 UAPB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | JKST 89 – 84 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-6 | 4-21 |
| Conference | 11-0 | 3-12 |
| Home | 6-0 | 2-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#292) | -20.1 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#258) | -2.37 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#273) | -3.95 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#272) | 0.383 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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