Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -138 ETSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -2.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -2.9 (+2.1) | 140.8 (-11.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -1.6 (+3.4) | 139.0 (-10.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -2.7 (+2.3) | 140.5 (-11.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -2.6 (+2.4) | 142.4 (-13.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WOF 72 – 69 ETSU |
| Feb 2, 2026 | ETSU 86 – 72 WOF |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WOF 72 – 60 ETSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ETSU 73 – 68 WOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WOF 81 – 78 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 8-7 |
| Home | 9-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#112) | 4.7 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#85) | 0.68 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#96) | 1.21 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#68) | 0.555 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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