Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -3300 ILST +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +35 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -20.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -16.7 (+18.3) | 146.2 (+8.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -16.9 (+18.1) | 143.6 (+11.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -18.1 (+16.9) | 145.1 (+9.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -17.4 (+17.6) | 143.8 (+11.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ILST 86 – 76 DRKE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ILST 73 – 56 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | DRKE 84 – 77 ILST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 62 ILST |
| Jan 18, 2024 | DRKE 77 – 56 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 7-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-1 | 3-8 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#25) | -4.5 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#4) | -1.42 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.03 (#5) | -1.62 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#54) | 0.429 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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