Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -275 OU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +5 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -4.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-29.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -4.6 (+0.4) | 139.8 (-30.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -4.2 (+0.8) | 136.6 (-27.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -4.6 (+0.4) | 141.7 (-32.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -4.7 (+0.3) | 139.9 (-30.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2024 | TTU 85 – 84 OU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TTU 74 – 63 OU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | OU 68 – 63 TTU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | TTU 56 – 55 OU |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TTU 66 – 42 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 16-11 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 9-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#14) | 14.3 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#21) | 3.20 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.79 (#13) | 3.73 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#45) | 0.620 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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