Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +850 FUR -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +6 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -9.9 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -4.6 (-1.4) | 161.8 (+20.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -5.5 (-0.5) | 163.6 (+18.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -4.5 (-1.5) | 166.5 (+15.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -5.0 (-1.0) | 162.7 (+19.3) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | FUR 72 – 51 CIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CIT 77 – 75 FUR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FUR 85 – 42 CIT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FUR 67 – 63 CIT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FUR 82 – 79 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 16-9 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 10-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.3 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#179) | 11.7 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#52) | 1.45 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#51) | 1.97 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#44) | 0.573 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 60.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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