Betting Lines
| Spread | UNC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UNC -188 SYR +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNC +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UNC -0.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNC -2.3 (+3.7) | 142.3 (+13.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNC -1.6 (+4.4) | 146.3 (+9.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNC -2.0 (+4.0) | 147.8 (+8.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNC -2.3 (+3.7) | 142.9 (+13.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UNC 77 – 64 SYR |
| Feb 3, 2026 | UNC 87 – 77 SYR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNC 88 – 82 SYR |
| Feb 14, 2024 | SYR 86 – 79 UNC |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UNC 103 – 67 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNC | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 18-10 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-1 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#48) | 12.6 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#61) | 1.77 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#55) | 2.30 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#57) | 0.584 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNC | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 44.9 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 40.9% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.