Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -335 ALCN +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -12.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -9.3 (-4.3) | 145.8 (+7.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -7.3 (-2.3) | 144.3 (+8.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -10.1 (-5.1) | 141.4 (+11.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -10.4 (-5.4) | 145.9 (+7.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | GRAM 74 – 50 ALCN |
| Feb 4, 2025 | ALCN 60 – 53 GRAM |
| Feb 6, 2024 | GRAM 78 – 67 ALCN |
| Jan 31, 2023 | ALCN 63 – 60 GRAM |
| Feb 1, 2022 | GRAM 80 – 73 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-12 | 6-13 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 6-7 |
| Home | 6-4 | 4-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#296) | -18.5 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#314) | -2.04 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.40 (#322) | -3.02 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#286) | 0.488 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 65.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 58.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 34.1% |
Game Analysis
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