Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | OU -250 TCU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +36 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | OU -9.7 (+26.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -8.3 (+27.7) | 139.6 (-11.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -7.5 (+28.5) | 136.6 (-8.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -8.4 (+27.6) | 138.7 (-10.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -8.6 (+27.4) | 138.7 (-10.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | TCU 77 – 70 OU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | TCU 80 – 71 OU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OU 74 – 60 TCU |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TCU 79 – 52 OU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | TCU 72 – 63 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 12-14 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#40) | 3.8 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#41) | 2.20 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#46) | 2.55 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#68) | 0.566 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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