Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -333 BALL +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +24 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -13.7 (-37.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -13.8 (-37.8) | 150.0 (+2.0) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -10.8 (-34.8) | 151.4 (+0.6) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -13.2 (-37.2) | 151.9 (+0.1) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -13.1 (-37.1) | 150.2 (+1.8) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BGSU 77 – 52 BALL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BGSU 61 – 52 BALL |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BALL 91 – 69 BGSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BGSU 80 – 70 BALL |
| Jan 31, 2024 | BGSU 81 – 72 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 10-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-9 |
| Home | 4-7 | 7-4 |
| Away | 10-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#60) | -2.3 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#66) | -0.72 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#91) | -0.88 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#52) | 0.472 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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