Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -125 WIS +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +23 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -4.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -7.4 (+15.6) | 139.9 (-8.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -5.6 (+17.4) | 136.0 (-5.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -6.9 (+16.1) | 141.4 (-10.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -7.1 (+15.9) | 141.3 (-10.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | MICH 68 – 65 WIS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WIS 91 – 88 MICH |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MICH 59 – 53 WIS |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MICH 67 – 64 WIS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MICH 72 – 68 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#8) | 16.1 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.59 (#2) | 2.88 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.72 (#2) | 4.53 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.692 (#3) | 0.616 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 41.4% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.0% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 12.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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