Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | OKST +170 KU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | KU -1.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -1.3 (+3.7) | 143.4 (+1.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -0.0 (+5.0) | 144.1 (+0.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.1 (+3.9) | 146.4 (-1.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -0.6 (+4.4) | 143.2 (+1.8) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | KU 81 – 69 OKST |
| Feb 22, 2025 | KU 96 – 64 OKST |
| Jan 31, 2024 | KU 83 – 54 OKST |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KU 90 – 66 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2023 | KU 87 – 76 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#50) | 13.9 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#27) | 3.87 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.08 (#22) | 4.81 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#47) | 0.660 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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