Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +7 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -10.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -5.4 (-1.6) | 148.9 (+16.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -5.2 (-1.8) | 150.7 (+14.3) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | BU 85 – 58 COLG |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLG 80 – 79 BU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BU 93 – 91 COLG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | COLG 87 – 50 BU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | COLG 74 – 64 BU |
Game Analysis
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