Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | NICH -550 SELA +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +20 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -11.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -8.9 (+11.1) | 138.5 (+15.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -7.6 (+12.4) | 138.9 (+15.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -9.7 (+10.3) | 141.1 (+12.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -8.7 (+11.3) | 138.0 (+16.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NICH 68 – 60 SELA |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SELA 67 – 61 NICH |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SELA 84 – 81 NICH |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NICH 67 – 64 SELA |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NICH 80 – 54 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 8-18 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 5-10 |
| Home | 8-1 | 3-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#207) | -11.1 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#211) | -1.75 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#219) | -2.75 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#202) | 0.414 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 25.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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