Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UNCG -200 WOF +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +3 | 93 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCG -1.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-51.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -2.2 (-5.2) | 143.6 (-50.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -1.9 (-4.9) | 139.4 (-46.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -2.6 (-5.6) | 142.8 (-49.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -2.0 (-5.0) | 144.7 (-51.7) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 75 – 72 WOF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCG 99 – 89 WOF |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WOF 97 – 85 UNCG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WOF 74 – 62 UNCG |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UNCG 68 – 66 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 15-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-5 |
| Home | 7-3 | 9-3 |
| Away | 10-3 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#156) | 2.5 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#161) | 0.47 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#169) | 1.00 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#130) | 0.530 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 15.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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