Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | ULM +220 UTA -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +1 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | UTA -5.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -1.9 (+0.9) | 137.5 (+11.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -2.4 (+1.4) | 139.5 (+9.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -1.7 (+0.7) | 140.8 (+8.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -2.3 (+1.3) | 138.5 (+10.5) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | UTA 77 – 68 ULM |
| Dec 3, 2024 | UTA 84 – 70 ULM |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ULM 74 – 71 UTA |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ULM 62 – 55 UTA |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTA 58 – 52 ULM |
Game Analysis
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