Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -18.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -4000 KENN +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +29 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -17.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -16.4 (+12.6) | 134.4 (-11.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -13.5 (+15.5) | 133.3 (-10.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -16.4 (+12.6) | 133.8 (-10.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -17.0 (+12.0) | 134.8 (-11.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | KENN 74 – 65 LIB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIB 81 – 73 KENN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LIB 81 – 79 KENN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | KENN 85 – 80 LIB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-6 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 2-13 |
| Home | 13-0 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-3 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#82) | -7.4 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#101) | -3.43 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#83) | -4.44 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#160) | 0.421 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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