Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO +125 RAD -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +15 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -4.8 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.2 (+26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -4.8 (-10.2) | 123.8 (+19.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -5.3 (-9.7) | 129.3 (+13.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -5.0 (-10.0) | 127.3 (+15.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -5.1 (-9.9) | 125.4 (+17.6) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | RAD 90 – 80 CHSO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | RAD 84 – 75 CHSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | RAD 76 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CHSO 58 – 54 RAD |
| Feb 29, 2024 | CHSO 58 – 57 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-18 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 2-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 1-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#319) | -3.8 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.47 (#343) | -1.21 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.26 (#342) | -1.79 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#292) | 0.466 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.48 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 27.4% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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